The cycle of strong economic growth depends upon the wheels of digital infrastructure and data privacy. Contextualizing it, post-pandemic India entails a digital recovery, wherein citizens will be digitally literate and aware. Our TRIP intern Sakshi Jain analyses the opportunities and challenges in the forthcoming years for the digital Indian economy.
Digitization is a process to convert information, without any loss into digital formats for increased accessibility and convenience, whereas digitalization is infusing technology into business processes for better, efficient working and easy sharing of data among different sectors of the economy.
India’s digital revolution began with ‘Demonetisation’. The cash disruption led to an acceleration in digital banking and electronic payments as revealed in a report by PWC (2015, 2). Post demonetization and simultaneous adoption of digital and electronic payment methods reduced cash proliferation into the Indian Economy and the pandemic further provided a boost to digitalization and increased formalization of the Economy.
India’s demography, with the proliferation of cheap handsets and low-cost internet accessibility, has aided in the digitalization of the Indian economy. Research conducted in 2018 has revealed that India ranks in second place with the highest internet users pegged at around 570 million, next only to China and this base of internet subscribers is rising at a rate of 13% every year as reported by (Adhikari, 2021). As reported by (Desai, n.d.), digitalization is the multiplying force in India. Under Jan Dhan Yojana, a tool for financial inclusion, 1.2 billion have biometric identity linked to their digital accounts and businesses digitally networked.
Progress and Impact
Digitalization helps widen the tax base, spurring a formalization of the Indian economy. Lewis (2021) reports that since March 2020, the government has distributed US$5 billion to citizens using digital payment methods. The digitalization of the government has been prominently visible in few e-governance initiatives.
The government e-marketplace facilitates the procurement of goods and services by government departments. “DigiLocker” has enabled sharing of documents and files electronically, and Direct Benefit Transfer enables the government to directly send credit into citizens’ accounts.
Digitalization has revolutionized the way we use banking services. Today, the idea of Hybrid Banks is gaining traction. Traditional customers have been demanding a robust digital experience and more services than just banking facilities as reported by (Mehta, 2020).
To pursue the objective of inclusive digitalization, the government has also introduced the flagship Bharatnet program to provide broadband connectivity to 250,000-gram panchayats throughout India. According to a report in ET Telecom (2020) through Bharatnet, the government will extend e-governance applications like telemedicine (e-sanjeevani), access to land records, and other utility services to Rural India.
Digital India – A Brief
ABBAS (2021) reported that the Government of India launched its flagship scheme of Digital India in 2015 to facilitate 100% mobile telephony, digital delivery of citizen-centric services, and high-speed broadband for 1.3 billion Indians. Lockdown has brought a transformational change in consumers’ behaviour as they have become increasingly digital. There has been a phenomenal shift to digital businesses like virtual gyms, virtual classes, and telehealth.
Figure 1 illustrates that there has been an increase in online shopping by digital buyers from 8% in 2016 to a whopping 28% in 2021. This rise is on account of a pent up digital demand due to the penetration of digital technology into the Indian economy.
To promote Digital India, the traditional pen-paper census will for the first time mark a transition to a “Digital census” in 2021 as announced in the revolutionary Digital Budget of this year (INDIA TODAY, 2021). The digital data collected through mobile applications will ensure greater transparency and better policy formulation.
The Indian government’s Digital India Mission (Ministry of Electronics and IT, 2015) has been buoyed by COVID-19 induced restrictions that have spurred the digital transformation. Roy (2020) reports that as per RBI estimates, India is recording 100 million digital transactions every day, which is five-times the 2016 levels.
Scope of Digital Recovery
In the pandemic-stricken economy, the transition to online medium has accelerated digital adoption. For the Indian tech industry to capitalize on digital services, there is an urgent need to inject resources into the Indian economy. In a report by Mckinsey, it is observed that the fast-growing digital media and entertainment ecosystem has the opportunity to generate US$55 billion in economic value by 2030 (McKinsey Global Institute, 2020, 16)
As per NITI Aayog’s report on Artificial Intelligence (AI), for agriculture to maintain a growth rate of 8-10%, leveraging digital technology is pivotal. Digitalization of the farm sector entails deploying sensors for soil monitoring, tech-enabled supply value chain, and Logistics management. Thus digital infrastructure is a prerequisite for Agriculture tech (Ag-tech).
In health-tech, the three digital themes are up for grabs, an electronic health record for every Indian by 2025, telehealthcare, and tech-enabled universal health insurance for all Indians.
The digital revolution can help achieve the ambition of ‘Energy for All’. Technology can be deployed to improve the transmission and distribution of power. Research is needed in harnessing its potential in digital bills, prepaid meters, and smart grids.
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As India embraces digital technology, some challenges and threats need to be addressed. From the current levels of US$200 billion, the vision to become a $1trillion digital economy in 2025 requires a leapfrog jump. Catapulting a digital economy requires increased investments in digital infrastructure, last-mile connectivity to coastal, landlocked, and island states. This has strengthened the argument for scaling up digitalization in sectors like data-driven lending and insurance.
In India, with the workforce transitioning online, there has been a spurt of cyberattacks. As reported by IANS (2020) India experienced a 37% increase in cyberattacks in the first quarter of 2020 as compared to the last quarter of 2019, researched by Kaspersky Security Network (KSN).
In a study conducted by PWC (2020, 3) it was observed that the cyberattacks on remote working were doubled in March 2020 from January 2020, along with identity theft other malicious activities were pursued that disrupted the working of Indian Organizations. The figure below is illustrative of this fact
According to the report by the Ministry of Electronics and IT (2019, 103), India’s digital ecosystem has the potential to create USD1 trillion of economic value by 2025. The digital interventions will help create another 40-45 million job opportunities especially in the sectors like fintech, ag-tech, and health-tech in the Indian economy. The cycle of strong economic growth depends upon the wheels of digital infrastructure and data privacy. Contextualizing it, post-pandemic India entails a digital recovery, wherein citizens will be digitally literate and aware. For this along with digital infrastructure we need awareness campaigns.
Edward G. (2020) reports that the number of internet users is expected to reach 1 Billion and, as per Roy (2020), digital transactions are expected to reach INR 15 Trillion a day by 2025. The extent of such digitalization demands safe cyberspace. Along with data privacy, the government needs to formulate a cyber-resilient policy, enact data protection laws and develop digital infrastructure.
- ABBAS. (2021). IPv6: India aims to become Atmanirbhar in secured Internet access. Economic Times. https://telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india-aims-to-become-atmanirbhar-in-digital-connectivity/80666073
- Adhikari. (2021). 2021: Shaping the Digital Future of India. IIFL SECURITIES. https://www.indiainfoline.com/article/general-editors-choice/2021-shaping-the-digital-future-of-india-121010400003_1.html
- Desai. (n.d.). https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/how-digitisation-can-push-indias-growth-and-per-capita-incomes-in-the-coming-decade/articleshow/61158292.cms
- Edward G. (2020). India is estimated to reach 1 billion internet users by 2025. Atlas VPN. https://atlasvpn.com/blog/india-estimated-to-reach-1-billion-internet-users-by-2025
- ET Telecom. (2020). BharatNet: Hughes India to provide high-speed satellite connectivity to 5,000 remote gram panchayats. ET Telecom. https://telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/bharatnet-hughes-india-to-provide-high-speed-satellite-connectivity-to-5000-remote-gram-panchayats/78634457
- IANS. (2020). 37% increase in cyberattacks in India in Q1 2020: Report. Economic Times. https://ciso.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/37-increase-in-cyberattacks-in-india-in-q1-2020-report/75962696
- INDIA TODAY. (2021). Budget 2021: Census to go digital for the first time with Rs 3,768 crore allocation. INDIA TODAY. https://www.indiatoday.in/business/budget-2021/story/budget-2021-census-to-go-digital-for-the-first-time-with-rs-3768-crore-allocation-nirmala-sitharaman-1764702-2021-02-01
- KEELERY. (2020). The penetration rate of digital buyers across India 2016-2021. STATISTA. https://www.statista.com/statistics/756084/india-digital-buyer-penetration/#:~:text=In%202021%2C%20the%20digital%20buyer,from%20eight%20percent%20in%202016.
- Lewis. (2021). Indian digital economy in 2020. Times Malta. https://timesofmalta.com/articles/view/indian-digital-economy-in-2020.848798
- McKinsey Global Institute. (2020). 16. https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Featured%20Insights/India/Indias%20turning%20point%20An%20economic%20agenda%20to%20spur%20growth%20and%20jobs/MGI-Indias-turning-point-Executive-summary-August-2020-vFinal.pdf
- Mehta. (2020). Economic Times. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/money/2021-the-year-of-hybrid-banking-new-players-and-even-newer-technologies/articleshow/79851859.cms
- Ministry of Electronics and IT. (2015). DIGITAL INDIA. https://www.digitalindia.gov.in/
- Ministry of Electronics and IT. (2019). INDIA’S TRILLION-DOLLAR DIGITAL OPPORTUNITY. 103.https://www.meity.gov.in/writereaddata/files/india_trillion-dollar_digital_opportunity.pdf
- PWC. (2015). Disrupting cash Accelerating electronic payments in India. https://www.pwc.in/assets/pdfs/publications/2015/disrupting-cash-accelerating-electronic-payments-in-india.pdf
- PWC. (2020). covid-19-crisis-the-impact-of-cybersecurity-on-Indian-organisations.pdf. 3. https://www.pwc.in/assets/pdfs/services/crisis-management/covid-19/covid-19-crisis-the-impact-of-cyber-security-on-indian-organisations.pdf
- Roy, A. (2020). Digital transactions could reach Rs 15 trillion a day by 2025: RBI. Business Standard. https://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/digital-transactions-could-reach-rs-15-trillion-a-day-by-2025-rbi-120072201431_1.html